Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Soars Past $30 as Fed’s Powell Signals Potential Rate Cuts

Silver (XAG/USD) prices surged to nearly $30.50 during Wednesday’s American session, fueled by a weakening US Dollar (USD) following Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the European Central Bank (ECB) Forum. Powell’s acknowledgement of progress in curbing inflation has ignited optimism for potential rate cuts, boosting the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver.

Market Drivers: Fed’s Dovish Tone and Mixed US Data

  • Powell’s Optimism on Disinflation: Fed Chair Powell’s comments regarding the US economy returning to a disinflationary path have strengthened market expectations for potential rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar and driving silver prices higher.
  • Weaker US Private Payrolls: Unexpectedly weak ADP employment data for June has raised concerns about the US labor market’s resilience, further contributing to the US Dollar’s decline.
  • Upcoming Data Releases: Investors are now focused on the release of the US ISM Services PMI for June and the FOMC minutes, which could provide additional insights into the Fed’s policy trajectory.

Technical Analysis: Silver Breaks Out of Falling Channel

Silver’s price has decisively broken out of a Falling Channel pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential reversal of the recent corrective move and a resumption of its upward journey. The white metal has also climbed above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), further confirming the bullish momentum.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the 60.00 level, suggesting that the buying pressure is intensifying. A break above this level could trigger further upside potential for silver prices.

Key Takeaways:

  • Silver prices are surging due to the Fed’s dovish tone and expectations of potential rate cuts.
  • Weaker US private payrolls data adds to the uncertainty surrounding the US economic outlook.
  • The technical analysis suggests a bullish breakout for silver, with potential for further gains.